Ozone depletion is causing global warming
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Updated: 2008/02/17 PM 10:34:57
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Ozone depletion, the steady decline in the total amount of ozone in Earth's stratosphere, is frequently cited in relation to global warming. Although there are areas of linkage, the relationship between the two is not strong. There are four areas of linkage:
- The same CO2 radiative forcing that produces near-surface global warming is expected to cool the stratosphere. This cooling, in turn, is expected to produce a relative increase in ozone (O3) depletion and the frequency of ozone holes.
- Conversely, ozone depletion represents a radiative forcing of the climate system. There are two opposing effects: Reduced ozone causes the stratosphere to absorb less solar radiation, thus cooling the stratosphere while warming the troposphere; the resulting colder stratosphere emits less long-wave radiation downward, thus cooling the troposphere. Overall, the cooling dominates; the IPCC concludes that "observed stratospheric O3 losses over the past two decades have caused a negative forcing of the surface-troposphere system"[1] of about −0.15 ± 0.10 watts per square meter (W/m²).[2]
- One of the strongest predictions of the greenhouse effect theory is that the stratosphere will cool. Although this cooling has been observed, it is not trivial to separate the effects of changes in the concentration of greenhouse gases and ozone depletion since both will lead to cooling. However, this can be done by numerical stratospheric modeling. Results from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory show that above 20 km (12.4 miles), the greenhouse gases dominate the cooling.[3]
- Ozone depleting chemicals are also greenhouse gases. The increases in concentrations of these chemicals have produced 0.34 ± 0.03 W/m² of radiative forcing, corresponding to about 14% of the total radiative forcing from increases in the concentrations of well-mixed greenhouse gases.[2]
Description of graph
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Global average radiative forcing estimates and ranges in 2005 for anthropogenic greenhouse gases and other important agents and mechanisms.
Understanding global warming requires understanding the changes in climate forcings that have occurred since the industrial revolution. These include positive forcing from increased greenhouse gases, negative forcing from increased sulphate aerosols and poorly constrained forcings from indirect aerosol feedbacks as well as minor contributions from solar variability and other factors. The poorly constrained aerosol effects results from both limited physical understanding of how aerosols interact with the atmosphere and limited knowledge of aerosol concentrations during the pre-industrial period. This is a significant source of uncertainty in comparing modern climate forcings to past states.
Contrary to the impression given by this figure, it is not possible to simply sum the radiative forcing contributions from all sources and obtain a total forcing. This is because different forcing terms can interact to either amplify or interfere with each other. For example, in the case of greenhouse gases, two different gases may share the same absorption bands thus partially limiting their effectiveness when taken in combination.
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The figures used the generate this plot were obtained from the IPCC Working Group I Fourth Assessment Report Summary for Policymakers, page 16. [4]
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This figure was produced by Leland McInnes (Radiative-forcings.svg) using gnuplot and Inkscape and is licensed under the GFDL. All data is from publicly available sources.
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Sources:
- Climate Change 2001: Working Group I: The Scientific Basis. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Work Group I Chapter 6.4 (2001). Retrieved on 2007-03-04.
- (2005). "IPCC/TEAP Special Report on Safeguarding the Ozone Layer and the Global Climate System: Issues Related to Hydrofluorocarbons and Perfluorocarbons (summary for policy makers)" (PDF). International Panel on Climate Change and Technology and Economic Assessment Panel. Retrieved on 2007-03-04.
- The Relative Roles of Ozone and Other Greenhouse Gases in Climate Change in the Stratosphere. Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (2007-02-29). Retrieved on 2007-03-04.
- IPCC Working Group I Fourth Assessment Report Summary for Policymakers, page 16
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Global Warming Potentials of Ozone Depleting Substitutes EPA
Ozone depletion. (2008, February 12). In Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia. Retrieved 03:05, February 18, 2008, from http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Ozone_depletion&oldid=190991109
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